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  #751  
Old 18-05-2017, 03:23 PM
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Technical analysis of USD/CHF for May 18, 2017


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Overview:

The USD/CHF pair continues to move downwards from the level of 0.9893.

Today, the first resistance level is seen at 0.9893 followed by 0.9948 as second resistance.

Also, the level of 0.9787 represents a weekly pivot point for that it will act as major resistance/support in coming hours.

Amid the previous events, the pair is still in a downtrend, because it is trading in a bearish trend from the new resistance line of 0.9893 towards the first support level at 0.9787 in order to test it.

If the pair succeeds to pass through the level of 0.9787, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the levels of 0.9710 and 0.9655.

However, if a breakout happens at the resistance level of 0.9893 (resistance 1), then this scenario may be invalidated.

Additionally, the support is found at 0.9893, which represents the 50% Fibonacci retracement level on the daily time frame. Since the trend is below the 50% Fibonacci level, the market is still in an downtrend.


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  #752  
Old 19-05-2017, 04:58 PM
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Ichimoku indicator analysis of Gold for May 19, 2017

Gold price as expected is pulling back from the important weekly resistance at $1,260. Bulls now we need to see a higher low relative to the May lows at $1,214. A corrective pullback that will not hurt the bullish scenario should hold above $1,234.


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Gold price is trading above the 4-hour cloud. Trend is bullish. Gold price could bounce from current levels as price has found support at the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the rise from $1,214. Next important support is at $1,234 where the 61.8% and the cloud supports are found. Bulls should not lose that level. On the other hand bears stopped the rise right at the important resistance of $1,260. Now they need to break back below the cloud for the move towards $1,150-60 to start.


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Red line -long-term resistance

Gold remains inside the weekly Kumo (cloud). Weekly trend remains neutral. Price remains below the weekly trend line resistance. However the bounce off the lower cloud boundary was a bullish sign. Bulls however need to break above the weekly cloud at $1,280 for the bull trend to be confirmed.


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  #753  
Old 22-05-2017, 04:03 PM
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Ichimoku indicator analysis of gold for May 22, 2017

Gold price is overbought in the short-term and justifies a pullback towards $1,240. It is important for Gold bulls to hold above $1,230 and create a new short-term base of a higher low in order to move above $1,280-$1,300 which is the long-term resistance.


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Gold price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud support. Price got rejected at the resistance of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Short-term support is at $1,247 and next at $1,230. Price is expected to move lower before higher.


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Gold daily chart shows price above daily cloud but below the 61.8% Fibo level resistance. I expect a pullback and a higher low to be created over this week. As long as price is above $1,213 we target $1,230-40 and next $1,280-$1,300. If the $1,213 low is broken, expect a move towards $1,150-60.


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  #754  
Old 25-05-2017, 04:02 PM
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Technical analysis of USD/CHF for May 25, 2017


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Overview:
The USD/CHF pair. The first resistance level is seen at 0.9787 followed by 0.9847, while daily support 1 is seen at 0.9691. The USD/CHF pair broke support which turned to strong resistance at 0.9787. The market is still set to trade around the daily pivot point of 0.9739. This week, it continued to move downwards from the level of 0.9787 to the bottom around 0.9739. The pair is trading below this level. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the resistance of 0.9787 which is expected to act as major resistance. Amid the previous events, the USD/CHF pair is still moving between the levels of 0.9787 and 0.9691. For that reason, the major resistance can be found at 0.9787 providing a clear signal to sell with a target seen at 0.9691. If the trend breaks the minor support at 0.9691, the pair will move downwards continuing the bearish trend development to the level of 0.9645 and 0.9600 in order to test the daily support 3. Overall, we still prefer the bearish scenario which suggests that the pair will stay below the area of 0.9787 (resistance).


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  #755  
Old 26-05-2017, 04:36 PM
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for May 26, 2017


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Wave summary:
We continue to look for a corrective decline into the 123.78 - 124.17 area before the next impulsive rally towards 134.30 and 138.52 should be expected. Short-term resistance is now seen at 125.16 and again at 125.43, Only a break above the later will indicate that the correction is complete and more upside towards 134.30 is developing.

R3: 125.81
R2: 125.43
R1: 125.16
Pivot: 125.00
S1: 124.86
S2: 124.17
S3: 123.78

Trading recommendation:

We will re-buy EUR at 124.20 or upon a break above 125.43.


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  #756  
Old 29-05-2017, 03:04 PM
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for May 29, 2017


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When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as Private Loans y/y and M3 Money Supply y/y. Today, the US will not release any Economic Data, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1226.
Strong Resistance:1.1220.
Original Resistance: 1.1209.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1198.
Target Inner Area: 1.1172.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1147.
Original Support: 1.1136.
Strong Support: 1.1125.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1119.


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  #757  
Old 30-05-2017, 01:12 PM
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Daily analysis of USDX for May 30, 2017


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The index remained in sideways during the Memorial Day in the United States, capped by the 200 SMA at H1 chart. The bears are still strong across the greenback and we can expect some declines towards 96.90. However, if USDX manages to break above the 200 SMA, it's expected to see a rally that tests the resistance area of 98.11.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 97.41 / 98.11
H1 chart's support levels: 96.90 / 96.25

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 96.90, take profit is at 96.25 and stop loss is at 97.56.


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  #758  
Old 31-05-2017, 02:14 PM
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for May 31, 2017


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When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as Unemployment Rate, Italian Prelim CPI m/m, Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate, German Unemployment Change, French Prelim CPI m/m, and German Retail Sales m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Beige Book, Pending Home Sales m/m, and Chicago PMI, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1225.
Strong Resistance:1.1219.
Original Resistance: 1.1208.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1197.
Target Inner Area: 1.1171.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1145.
Original Support: 1.1134.
Strong Support: 1.1123.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1117.


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  #759  
Old 01-06-2017, 01:42 PM
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Daily analysis of USDX for June 01, 2017


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The index is finding support around 96.00, as the bears continue to keep pressure the greenback in the short-term. Once it manages to break below the 96.90 level, then we might see some declines to take place towards 96.25. However, if USDX does a consolidation above the 200 SMA at H1 chart, it can look for the 98.11 level.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 97.41 / 98.11
H1 chart's support levels: 96.90 / 96.25

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 96.90, take profit is at 96.25 and stop loss is at 97.56.


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  #760  
Old 02-06-2017, 01:25 PM
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Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF for June 2, 2017


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USD/CHF has been recently in a corrective structure between 0.9700-0.9750 area. Recently CHF had negative economic reports like KOF Economic Barometer which was released with a worse figure at 101.6 which was expected to be at 106.2, GDP was released with a worse figure at 0.3% which was expected to rise to 0.5% from the previous figure of 0.2% and Retail Sales report was released with much worst figure at -1.2% which was expected to rise to 2.4% from previous 2.1%. Despite CHF having a good number of important economic events, the currency has managed to gain some strength over USD recently after the correction but failed to continue yesterday as of the positive USD ADP non-farm Employment Change report which showed a rise to 253k which was expected to rise to 181k from 174k previously. Today on the USD side, we have a number of high impact economic events like Average Hourly Earnings report is expected to show a fall to 0.2% from 0.3% previously, Unemployment Rate is expected to be unchanged at 4.4% and Non-Farm Employment Change is expected to decline to 181k from the previous figure of 211k. Though the Non-Farm Employment Change is expected to decline today as of ADP reports Non-Farm Employment Change has higher chances of release with a positive figure which will strengthen the growth of USD against CHF in the coming days.

Now let us look at the technical view, the price has shown a false break downwards after breaking below corrective structure support level at 0.9700. Currently, the price is residing between the corrective structure and a daily close above 0.9750 and daily close below 0.9700 will only enclose the upcoming move in this pair. As of the positive reports on the USD side evolving recently, it is expected that the price has higher chances of breaking upward above 0.9750 level with an upper target towards 0.9960 resistance area but if the price rejects off the corrective structure resistance 0.9750 or breaks below 0.9700 with a daily close below it then we will be looking forward to selling with a target towards 0.9550 support area.


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